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Start
12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Lille - Aston Villa
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - Aston Villa March 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / X 3.24 / 2 2.31
- 1X2 market: Lille 29.4% / X 29.4% / Aston Villa 41.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
29.3%
X
29.4%
2
41.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lille - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.31
market consensus · line only
X
3.24
market consensus · line only
1
3.25
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.34
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.63
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.25
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.66
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.90
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.86
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.15 31.8% | 2.98 33.6% | 3.38 29.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 2.26 44.3% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.25 44.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.60 62.5% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - Aston Villa
Lille
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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