Match center
Start
19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Lille - FK Crvena Zvezda
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - FK Crvena Zvezda February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.63 / X 4.10 / 2 5.10
- 1X2 market: Lille 58.2% / X 23.2% / FK Crvena Zvezda 18.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
58.2%
X
23.2%
2
18.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
55.0%
Under 2.5
45.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lille - FK Crvena Zvezda
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.10
Fonbet · line only
X
4.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
2.30
Fonbet · line only
12
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.31
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.78
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
5.00
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.72
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.05
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.25 23.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 4.90 20.4% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.53 18.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.20 45.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Lille
W
L
L
W
L
Lille
1:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
Lille
1:2
Selta
Selta
Lille
0:1
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Lille
4:0
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Lille
0:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
FK Crvena Zvezda
D
W
W
W
W
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:1
Selta
Selta
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Malmo FF
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
FCSB
FCSB
FK Crvena Zvezda
1:0
Lille
Lille
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
1
matches total
Lille: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FK Crvena Zvezda: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
FK Crvena Zvezda 0:1 (06.11 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 06.11 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Lille
0:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
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