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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC

World Football
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Finished
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC February 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferencvarosi TC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferencvarosi TC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 3.15 / 2 2.70
  • 1X2 market: Ludogorets 34.6% / X 30.2% / Ferencvarosi TC 35.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 34.6%
X 30.2%
2 35.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.68 37.3% 2.61 38.3% 2.83 35.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.29 30.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.68 37.3% 2.57 38.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.25 1.87 53.5%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 2.25 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Ludogorets
W L D W L
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 1:0 NiceNice
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:1 RangersRangers
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 3:3 PAOKPAOK
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 3:2 SeltaSelta
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 1:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Ferencvarosi TC
L D W D W
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC 0:4 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC 1:1 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC 2:1 RangersRangers
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC 1:1 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC 3:1 LudogoretsLudogorets
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLudogorets - Ferencvarosi TC

Ludogorets
1 matches total
Ferencvarosi TC
Ludogorets: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ferencvarosi TC: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Ferentsvarosh 1:3 (06.11 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 06.11 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets
1:3
Ferentsvarosh