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Start
19.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Lyon - Celta Vigo
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - Celta Vigo March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.34 / 2 3.62
- 1X2 market: Lyon 45.4% / X 28.4% / Celta Vigo 26.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
45.4%
X
28.4%
2
26.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.62
market consensus · line only
X
3.34
market consensus · line only
1
2.09
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.75
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.28
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.58
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.93
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.81
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.79 26.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.39 71.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Lyon
D
W
W
W
W
Lyon
1:1
Selta
Selta
Lyon
4:2
PAOK
PAOK
Lyon
1:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Lyon
2:1
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Lyon
6:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
Celta Vigo
D
W
W
D
W
Celta Vigo
1:1
Lion
Lion
Celta Vigo
1:0
PAOK
PAOK
Celta Vigo
2:1
PAOK
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Celta Vigo
2:1
Lille
Lille
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
matches total
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 12.03 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (12.03 20:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Lion
1:1
Selta
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