UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Nice - Real Sociedad

World Futbol
Nice
Nice
1 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Real Sociedad 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.15 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Nice 41.4% / X 30.7% / Real Sociedad 27.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 41.4%
X 30.7%
2 27.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 38.9%
Under 2.5 61.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Real Sociedad

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.34 42.7%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.47 28.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.48 40.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.58 63.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.61 62.1%
П2 2.40 41.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Real Sociedad

Nice
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history