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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland

World Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3
Finished
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.94 / 2 6.84
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 66.9% / X 19.2% / FC Midtjylland 13.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 66.9%
X 19.2%
2 13.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Under 2.5 37.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.88 market consensus · line only
X 4.97 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.87 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.08 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 5.29 18.9%
7.37 13.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%
X 4.90 20.4% 4.80 20.8% 4.97 20.1% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
6.80 14.7% 5.90 17.0% 7.10 14.1% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 7.40 13.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.90 34.5% 2.93 34.1%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
D
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
FC Midtjylland
W W W W W
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
28.08 15:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 KuPSKuPS
21.08 16:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 4:0 KuPSKuPS
14.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 FredrikstadFredrikstad
07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:1 FredrikstadFredrikstad
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points