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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
12.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland

World Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 : 1
Finished
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland March 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.31 / 2 6.07
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 62.4% / X 22.0% / FC Midtjylland 15.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 62.4%
X 22.0%
2 15.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.07 market consensus · line only
X 4.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.49 67.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.52 22.1% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
6.20 16.1% 6.00 16.7% 6.55 15.3% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.0 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 2.75 1.98 50.5%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 1.92 52.1%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
L W W L W
26.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 1:2 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 3:0 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 4:0 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 BragaBraga
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:1 UtrechtUtrecht
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
FC Midtjylland
W D W L W
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:3 BrannBrann
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 1:0 GenkGenk
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:1 CelticCeltic
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest
1 matches total
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Midtjylland: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Midtyullann 2:3 (02.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 02.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingem Forest
2:3
Midtyullann