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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Nottingham Forest - FC Porto

World Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0
Finished
FC Porto
FC Porto

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - FC Porto October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / X 3.20 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 37.4% / X 29.8% / FC Porto 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 37.4%
X 29.8%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - FC Porto

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.46 40.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.31 30.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.00 33.3% 2.79 35.8% 2.95 33.9% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.25 2.00 50.0%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.03 49.3%
Over 2.75 1.99 50.3%
Over 3.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 2.88 34.7%
Under 2.25 1.89 52.9%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 2.75 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
L D
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
FC Porto
W W W D L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:3 Bodo/Glimt
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points