AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to CSKA Sofia. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
UEFA Europa League
OFI meet CSKA Sofia on August 20, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League.
Recent form (W-D-L): OFI 1-1-3, CSKA Sofia 3-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 CSKA Sofia — 54%
Model estimate: win OFI 25.9%, draw 20.5%, win CSKA Sofia 53.6%. Model favourite — CSKA Sofia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% |
| x2 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 4.15 24.1% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 3 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.25 30.8% |
| Over 4 | 5.20 19.2% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.80 17.2% |
| Under 0.5 | 7.70 13.0% |
| Under 1 | 6.60 15.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 2 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 3 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 4 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
CSKA Sofia
Full head-to-head history: OFI - CSKA Sofia
The OFI - CSKA Sofia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 20, 2026.
