UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Olympiakos Piraeus - SC Braga

World Futbol
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 0
Finished
SC Braga
SC Braga

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olympiakos Piraeus - SC Braga 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olympiakos Piraeus.

Line favourite market consensus: Olympiakos Piraeus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.62 / 2 3.09
  • 1X2 market: Olympiakos Piraeus 41.9% / X 26.8% / SC Braga 31.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 41.9%
X 26.7%
2 31.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Under 2.5 44.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Olympiakos Piraeus - SC Braga

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.31 43.3%
Х 3.62 27.6%
П2 3.09 32.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.74 57.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.18 45.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.68 59.5%
П2 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Olympiakos Piraeus
L
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Olympiakos Piraeus 0:2 LionLion
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
SC Braga
W
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 2:1 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points