Match center
Start
19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
PAOK - Celta Vigo
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction PAOK - Celta Vigo February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK.
Line favourite Fonbet: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / X 3.15 / 2 2.90
- 1X2 market: PAOK 36.7% / X 30.3% / Celta Vigo 32.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
36.7%
X
30.3%
2
32.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
58.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
PAOK - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.90
Fonbet · line only
X
3.15
Fonbet · line only
1
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.50
Fonbet · line only
12
1.35
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.52
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
2.83
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.68 37.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.60 38.5% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
| 2.82 35.5% | 2.78 36.0% | 2.99 33.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.87 34.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.77 56.5% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | — |
Match center
PAOK
L
W
D
D
W
PAOK
2:4
Lion
Lion
PAOK
2:0
Real Betis
Real Betis
PAOK
3:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
PAOK
1:1
Brann
Brann
PAOK
4:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Celta Vigo
D
W
L
L
W
Celta Vigo
1:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Celta Vigo
2:1
Lille
Lille
Celta Vigo
1:2
Bologna
Bologna
Celta Vigo
2:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
Celta Vigo
3:0
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPAOK - Celta Vigo
PAOK
1
matches total
PAOK: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Selta 1:3 (02.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 02.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
PAOK
1:3
Selta
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