UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Plzen - Ludogorets

World Futbol
Plzen
Plzen
0 : 0
Finished
Ludogorets
Ludogorets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Plzen - Ludogorets 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Plzen.

Line favourite market consensus: Plzen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.55 / 2 4.69
  • 1X2 market: Plzen 52.2% / X 27.2% / Ludogorets 20.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 52.2%
X 27.2%
2 20.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 47.7%
Under 2.5 52.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Plzen - Ludogorets

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.55 28.2%
П2 4.69 21.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.04 49.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.34 74.6%
П2 3.42 29.2%
Match center
Plzen
D
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 3:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Ludogorets
L
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets 0:2 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPlzen - Ludogorets

Plzen
0 matches total
Ludogorets
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history