UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Qarabag - Ajax

World Futbol
Qarabag
Qarabag
0 : 3
Finished
Ajax
Ajax

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Qarabag - Ajax 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Qarabag.

Line favourite market consensus: Qarabag. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.65 / 2 2.72
  • 1X2 market: Qarabag 37.9% / X 26.5% / Ajax 35.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 37.9%
X 26.5%
2 35.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Qarabag - Ajax

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.55 39.2%
Х 3.65 27.4%
П2 2.72 36.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.40 41.7%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.88 53.2%
П2 1.97 50.8%
Match center
Qarabag
L L
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Qarabag 1:2 Malmo FF
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Qarabag 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Ajax
D W
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ajax 1:1 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Ajax 4:0 BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Ajax

Qarabag
0 matches total
Ajax
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history