Match center
Start
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Qarabag - Malmo FF
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Qarabag - Malmo FF 3 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Qarabag.
Line favourite market consensus: Qarabag. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.67 / 2 3.55
- 1X2 market: Qarabag 46.5% / X 26.3% / Malmo FF 27.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.5%
1
46.5%
X
26.3%
2
27.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Qarabag - Malmo FF
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.55
market consensus · line only
X
3.67
market consensus · line only
1
2.08
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.81
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.34
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.08 48.1% |
| Х | 3.67 27.3% |
| П2 | 3.55 28.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.81 55.3% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.34 74.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.53 65.4% |
| П2 | 2.61 38.3% |
Match center
Qarabag
L
Qarabag
0:3
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Malmo FF
L
Malmo FF
0:2
Rangers
Rangers
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Malmo FF
Qarabag
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals