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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
16.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction
16.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Real Betis - SC Braga

World Football
Stadium Olimpiyskiy Stadium
Real Betis
Real Betis
2 : 4
Finished
SC Braga
SC Braga
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Betis — 51%

1 · Real Betis51.2%
X · draw24.0%
2 · SC Braga24.8%

Model estimate: win Real Betis 51.2%, draw 24.0%, win SC Braga 24.8%. Model favourite — Real Betis.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - SC Braga April 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Strongest: Real Betis - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.49 / 2 4.39
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 51.1% / X 27.2% / SC Braga 21.7%
  • Glicko: Real Betis 51.2% / X 24.0% / SC Braga 24.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 49.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 51.1%
X 27.2%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 5/6
Confidence 54.3%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 16.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Stadium Olimpiyskiy Stadium (Sevilya)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Real Betis 51%
💹 Market Real Betis 5111%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Real Betis - SC Braga

Real Betis: Win 1.85 Real Betis: Draw 3.50 SC Braga Win: 4.33 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Real Betis bolshe 1.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Real Betis menshe 1.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov SC …

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:4
Events 24
Statistics 24
Lineups 44
min Event Player Team
13' 13' Normal Goal | Antony G. Aguilar Real Betis
20' 20' Substitution 2 | B. Arrey-Mbi | assist/sub out: Gabriel Moscardo SC Braga
26' 26' Normal Goal | A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis
31' 31' Goal cancelled | A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis
35' 35' Yellow Card | Vitor Carvalho H. Al Yami SC Braga
38' 38' Normal Goal | P. Victor SC Braga
43' 43' Yellow Card | A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis
47' 47' Yellow Card | P. Fornals Luca Marianucci Real Betis
Metric Real Betis SC Braga SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.25 1.5 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 1 final
Shots off target 4 0 final
Shots on target 5 5 final
Udary vsego 11 6 final
Fouls soversheno 12 16 final
Zheltye kartochki 4 3 final
Offsides 2 3 final
Real Betis #1 L. Horníček, #2 Víctor Gómez, #6 Vitor Carvalho, #14 G. Lagerbielke, #18 Pau Victor, #21 Ricardo Horta, #26 B. Arrey-Mbi, #29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby, #34 E. Tıknaz, #77 Gabri Martínez
SC Braga #2 Héctor Bellerín, #3 Diego Llorente, #5 Marc Bartra, #7 Antony, #8 Pablo Fornals, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #12 R. Rodriguez, #14 S. Amrabat, #15 Álvaro Fidalgo, #19 C. Hernandez, #25 Pau López
Player Team Metric SStats
A. El Ouazzani Real Betis Seyvy 0
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis football.player.assists 0
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis Edinoborstva vyigrano 1
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis Seyvy 0
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis football.player.minutes_played 20
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis Klyuchevye pasy 7
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis Reyting (staryy) 6.3
B. Arrey-Mbi Real Betis Otbory vsego 7
E. Tıknaz Real Betis football.player.assists 0
E. Tıknaz Real Betis Dribling popytki 6
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Betis 51.7% 51.2% market and model agree
Draw 26.8% 24.0% draw risk
SC Braga 21.5% 24.8%
xG - 1.70 : 1.11
Total 2.5 Over 49.9% - Under 50.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.2% / 24.0% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,719 / 1,688 Real Betis / SC Braga
RD 117 / 103 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.39 market consensus · no value · model 24.8%
X 3.49 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%
Double chance
X2 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.18 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 49.9%
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 50.1%
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
4.40 22.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.62 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.91 52.4% 2.04 49.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% — 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% — 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75 — — 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% —
Over 3.5 3.45 29.0% — —
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4% — —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8% — —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% —
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9% — —
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9% — —
Match center
Real Betis
Founded 1907
SC Braga
Founded 1921
Match center
Real Betis
D W L W L
08.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 1:1 BragaBraga
19.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 4:0 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
12.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 0:1 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 2:1 FeyenoordFeyenoord
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 0:2 PAOKPAOK
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
SC Braga
D W L D W
08.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
18.03 15:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 4:0 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
12.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 0:2 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 0:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - SC Braga

Real Betis
1 matches total
SC Braga
Real Betis: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
SC Braga: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 08.04 16:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (08.04 16:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

08.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis
1:1
Braga
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.