UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad - Anderlecht

World Futbol
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Finished
Anderlecht
Anderlecht

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Anderlecht 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.03 / 2 6.38
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 61.0% / X 23.9% / Anderlecht 15.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 61.0%
X 23.9%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Anderlecht

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.38 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 1.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
Х 4.03 24.8%
П2 6.38 15.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.50 40.0%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.01 49.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.88 53.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
П2 4.87 20.5%
Match center
Real Sociedad
D
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Sociedad 1:1 NiceNice
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Anderlecht
W
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht 2:1 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Anderlecht

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Anderlecht
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history