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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
08.04.2026 16:45 UTC Match prediction
08.04.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Braga - Real Betis

World Football
Stadium Braga Munisipal
SC Braga
SC Braga
1 : 1
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 SC Braga — 38%

1 · SC Braga38.5%
X · draw26.0%
2 · Real Betis35.6%

Model estimate: win SC Braga 38.5%, draw 26.0%, win Real Betis 35.6%. Model favourite — SC Braga.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Braga - Real Betis April 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Braga.

Strongest: SC Braga - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.26 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: SC Braga 37.6% / X 29.2% / Real Betis 33.2%
  • Glicko: SC Braga 38.5% / X 26.0% / Real Betis 35.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 44.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.6%
X 29.2%
2 33.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 27.5%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 08.04.2026 16:45 UTC
Stadium Braga Munisipal

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model SC Braga 38%
💹 Market SC Braga 3761%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

SC Braga - Real Betis

SC Braga: Win 2.45 SC Braga: Draw 3.30 Real Betis Win: 2.88 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov SC Braga bolshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov SC Braga menshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Real Beti…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 19
Statistics 24
Lineups 43
min Event Player Team
5' 5' Normal Goal | Florian Grillitsch | assist/sub out: Diego Rodrigues S. Lukic SC Braga
7' 7' Goal Disallowed - offside | Marc Bartra J. Olaizola Real Betis
11' 11' Yellow Card | Sofyan Amrabat Real Betis
18' 18' Substitution 1 | Diego Rodrigues | assist/sub out: João Moutinho SC Braga
23' 23' Yellow Card | Sikou Niakaté A. Al Bouq SC Braga
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Sofyan Amrabat | assist/sub out: Antony Real Betis
57' 57' Yellow Card | Marc Roca Real Betis
60' 60' Yellow Card | Jean-Baptiste Gorby SC Braga
Metric SC Braga Real Betis SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.26 1.55 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 2 final
Shots off target 1 3 final
Shots on target 3 6 final
Udary vsego 7 11 final
Fouls soversheno 13 13 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final
Offsides 2 3 final
SC Braga #1 L. Horníček, #2 Víctor Gómez, #4 S. Niakaté, #14 G. Lagerbielke, #18 Pau Victor, #21 Ricardo Horta, #26 B. Arrey-Mbi, #29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby, #50 Diego Rodrigues, #77 Gabri Martínez
Real Betis #4 Natan, #5 Marc Bartra, #8 Pablo Fornals, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #12 R. Rodriguez, #14 S. Amrabat, #15 Álvaro Fidalgo, #19 C. Hernandez, #21 Marc Roca, #24 Aitor Ruibal, #25 Pau López
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis football.player.assists 0
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Dribling popytki 3
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Dribling uspeshno 1
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Edinoborstva vsego 1
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Edinoborstva vyigrano 7
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Fouls soversheno 2
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Conceded golov 1
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Seyvy 0
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis football.player.minutes_played 78
A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis Tochnost pasov % 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SC Braga 37.2% 38.5% market and model agree
Draw 29.4% 26.0% draw risk
Real Betis 33.4% 35.6%
xG - 1.36 : 1.30
Total 2.5 Over 44.1% - Under 55.9%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 38.5% / 26.0% / 35.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,689 / 1,718 SC Braga / Real Betis
RD 107 / 123 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.87 market consensus · no value · model 35.6%
X 3.26 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.53 market consensus · no value · model 38.5%
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 61.5%
12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 74.0%
1X 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 64.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · no value · model 44.1%
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · no value · model 55.9%
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.78 36.0% 2.92 34.3% 2.98 33.6% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% — 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 — — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% — —
Over 2.25 — 1.86 53.8% —
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% —
Over 3.5 3.55 28.2% — —
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3% — —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 1.5 3.20 31.3% — —
Under 2.25 — 2.06 48.5% —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1% — —
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7% — —
Match center
SC Braga
Founded 1921
Real Betis
Founded 1907
Match center
SC Braga
VC Vitor Carvalho Hip Injury
AB A. Barišić Muscle Injury
Real Betis
I Isco Ankle Injury
JF Junior Firpo Injury
SC Braga Founded: 1921
Real Betis Founded: 1907
Match center
SC Braga
W L D W W
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SC Braga 4:0 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
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SC Braga 0:2 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
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SC Braga 0:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
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SC Braga 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:0 NiceNice
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Real Betis
W L W L W
19.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 4:0 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
12.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 0:1 PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 2:1 FeyenoordFeyenoord
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Real Betis 0:2 PAOKPAOK
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Real Betis 3:1 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Braga - Real Betis

SC Braga
0 matches total
Real Betis
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.