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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
30.04.2026 19:00 UTC semi-final. 1 match
Finished

UEFA Europa League

SC Braga - SC Freiburg

World Football
SC Braga
SC Braga
2 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SC Braga - SC Freiburg April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Braga.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Braga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.07 / 2 3.33
  • 1X2 market: SC Braga 40.6% / X 30.9% / SC Freiburg 28.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 40.7%
X 30.9%
2 28.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 41.7%
Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Munisipal-di-Braga (Braga, Portugal), 27 161 zritel (90% pri vmestimosti 30 286)
Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)
Start 30.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

SC Braga - SC Freiburg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Braga - Frayburg, 30 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Europa League UEFA 2025/2026, semi-final. 1 match. Braga - Frayburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.34 42.7% 2.41 41.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.23 31.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3%
3.10 32.3% 3.43 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.25 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.5 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9%
Over 1.75 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.0 1.71 58.5%
Over 2.25 2.10 47.6%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 3.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
SC Braga

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

SC Freiburg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Siku Nyakate Adrian Leon Barishich Diegu Rodrigesh Brayt Arri-Mbi Florian Grillich Travmirovannye Patrik Osterkhage Diskvalifitsirovannye Gabriel Moskardo CHAMP
Match center
SC Braga
W D W L D
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 4:2 Real BetisReal Betis
08.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
18.03 15:30 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 4:0 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
12.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 0:2 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Braga 0:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
SC Freiburg
W W W L L
16.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 3:1 SeltaSelta
09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 3:0 SeltaSelta
19.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 5:1 GenkGenk
12.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 0:1 GenkGenk
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 0:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySC Braga - SC Freiburg

SC Braga
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 SC Braga
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 SC Freiburg
SC Braga Team comparison SC Freiburg
18 Games 12
12 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
34 Scored 21
12 Conceded 7
40 Points 26
93.5 Attacks 93.25
48 Dangerous attacks 45.5
0 Big chances 0
7.5 Shots on goal 10.5
3.89 Shots on target 5.5
inala. 2 match Goly Demir Tyknaz Viktor Gomes 1:0 8' Vinchentso Grifo Yan-Niklas Beste 1 16' Mario Dorzheles Vitor Karvalo 2:1 90+2' Nezabitye penalti Rodrigo Salasar 45+2' Nakazaniya Vitor Karvalo 16' Vinchentso Grifo 18' Filipp Linkhart 45+1' Viktor Gomes 57' Zhordi Makengo 72'

Braga Frayburg 18 Games 12 Wins 8 4 Draws 2 Losses 2 34 Scored 21 12 Conceded 7 40 Points 26 93.5 Attacks 93.25 48 Dangerous attacks 45.5 0 Big chances 0 7.5 Shots on goal 10.5 3.89 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.72 Uglovye 4.75 1.28 Offsaydy 1.08 11.22 Foly 11.33 56.33 % vladeniya myachom 49.08 1.78 Warnings 1.58 0.06 Sendoffs 0.08 Sleduyuschiy match 07.05.2026 Europa League Frayburg –:– Braga semi-final. 2 match Goly Demir Tyknaz Viktor Gomes 1:0 8' Vinchentso Grifo Yan-Niklas Beste 1 16' Mario Dorzheles Vitor Karvalo 2:1 90+2' Nezabitye penalti Rodrigo Salasar 45+2' Nakazaniya Vitor Karvalo 16' Vinchentso Grifo 18' Filipp Linkhart 45+1' Viktor Gomes 57' Zhordi Makengo 72'