Match center
Start
19.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg - Genk
5
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction SC Freiburg - Genk March 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.
Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.15 / 2 5.63
- 1X2 market: SC Freiburg 60.3% / X 22.8% / Genk 16.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
60.3%
X
22.8%
2
16.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
SC Freiburg - Genk
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.63
market consensus · line only
X
4.15
market consensus · line only
1
1.57
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.22
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.41
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.87
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.50
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.04
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.94
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.37 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.15 24.1% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 5.00 20.0% | 6.10 16.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.70 17.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
Match center
SC Freiburg
L
L
W
W
D
SC Freiburg
0:1
Genk
Genk
SC Freiburg
0:1
Lille
Lille
SC Freiburg
1:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
SC Freiburg
1:0
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
SC Freiburg
0:0
Plzen
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.4
Scored
0.4
Conceded
7
Points
Genk
W
L
W
W
W
Genk
1:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
Genk
1:3
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
3:1
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
2:1
Malmo FF
Genk
2:0
Utrecht
Utrecht
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySC Freiburg - Genk
SC Freiburg
1
matches total
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Genk 0:1 (12.03 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 12.03 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Frayburg
0:1
Genk
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