UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Twente - Fenerbahçe

World Futbol
Twente
Twente
1 : 1
Finished
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Twente - Fenerbahçe 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fenerbahçe.

Line favourite market consensus: Fenerbahçe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.16 / X 3.39 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: Twente 30.6% / X 28.6% / Fenerbahçe 40.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 30.6%
X 28.5%
2 40.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Twente - Fenerbahçe

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 3.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.16 31.7%
Х 3.39 29.5%
П2 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.02 49.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.25 44.4%
П2 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Twente
D
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Twente 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Fenerbahçe
W
26.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Fenerbahçe 2:1 Union St. Gilloise
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTwente - Fenerbahçe

Twente
0 matches total
Fenerbahçe
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history