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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
26.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

VfB Stuttgart - Celtic

World Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Finished
Celtic
Celtic

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Celtic February 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.49 / 2 7.02
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 69.2% / X 17.3% / Celtic 13.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 69.2%
X 17.3%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 70.0%
Under 2.5 30.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Celtic

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.02 market consensus · line only
X 5.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.40 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.34 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.37 73.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.30 18.9% 5.78 17.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.70 17.5%
6.40 15.6% 6.60 15.2% 7.65 13.1% 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 7.40 13.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.26 44.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.09 91.7% 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.25 1.19 84.0%
Over 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 3.25 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 4.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 5.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 1.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 3.25 2.03 49.3%
Under 3.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 4.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
W W L W W
19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 CelticCeltic
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Celtic
L W D L W
19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 1:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 4:2 UtrechtUtrecht
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 2:2 BolognaBologna
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 3:1 FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - Celtic

VfB Stuttgart
1 matches total
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celtic: 0 (0%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 4:1 (19.02 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 19.02 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart
4:1
Celtic