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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

VfB Stuttgart - FC Porto

World Football
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 2
Finished
FC Porto
FC Porto

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - FC Porto March 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.45 / 2 3.98
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 48.5% / X 27.6% / FC Porto 23.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 48.5%
X 27.6%
2 23.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.5%
Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - FC Porto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.94 51.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.57 28.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3%
4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.16 24.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.91 52.4% 2.19 45.7% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.89 52.9%
Over 2.75 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 2.01 49.8%
Under 2.75 1.90 52.6%
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
L W W L W
26.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 0:1 CelticCeltic
19.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 CelticCeltic
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
22.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart 4:1 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
FC Porto
W D W W D
29.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:1 RangersRangers
22.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:1 Plzen
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:1 Malmo FF
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:0 NiceNice
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:1 UtrechtUtrecht
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfB Stuttgart - FC Porto

VfB Stuttgart
0 matches total
FC Porto
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history