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UELS: Valliyskaya Premier League Standings
UELS: Valliyskaya Premier League Standings
31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UELS: Valliyskaya Premier League Standings

Colwyn Bay - Trefelin

Football
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
- : -
Not started
T
Trefelin
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Colwyn Bay — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Colwyn Bay): model 44% · market 68% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Colwyn Bay ✓ Pick67.8%
market68%
X · draw17.9%
market18%
2 · Trefelin14.3%
market14%

Model estimate: win Colwyn Bay 67.8%, draw 17.9%, win Trefelin 14.3%. Model favourite — Colwyn Bay.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Colwyn Bay (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Kolvin Bey: probability 52% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • • no edge over the line (-23 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colwyn Bay - Trefelin July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Colwyn Bay. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.10 / 2 6.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 ✓ Pick 68.0%
X 18.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center

Colwyn Bay - Trefelin

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colwyn Bay 69.3% 67.8% market and model agree
Draw 17.6% 17.9% draw risk
Trefelin 13.1% 14.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.8% / 17.9% / 14.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Colwyn Bay / Trefelin
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 market consensus · no value · model 14.3%
X 5.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 67.8%
Double chance
12 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 82.1%
1X 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 85.7%
X2 2.87 market consensus · no value · model 32.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.83 35.3% 2.90 34.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.78 56.2%
X 2.60 38.5%
6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyColwyn Bay - Trefelin

Colwyn Bay
0 matches total
Trefelin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history