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Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
05.06.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
05.06.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Ukraine: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)

Aleksandriya - Levyy bereg

Football
A
Aleksandriya
1 : 1
Finished
L
Levyy bereg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aleksandriya - Levyy bereg June 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aleksandriya.

Line favourite market consensus: Aleksandriya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.15 / 2 3.21
  • 1X2 market: Aleksandriya 42.3% / X 29.1% / Levyy bereg 28.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 42.3%
X 29.1%
2 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Aleksandriya
#1517 ptsGP 303-8-1924:58
Levyy bereg
not in table
Best price across 10 books
1 2.35 Bet365
X 3.25 1xBet
2 3.36 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Aleksandriya
Rating 1372 xG 1.22 Win 40%
Levyy bereg
Rating 1382 xG 1.04 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 05.06.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Aleksandriya - Levyy bereg

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 Fonbet · line only
X 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.28 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet
2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.23 44.8%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
3.10 32.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.30 43.5%
1x 1.28 78.1%
x2 1.10 90.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
9.50 10.5%
10.50 9.5%
8.00 12.5%
9.50 10.5%
2.75 36.4%
10.50 9.5%
10.50 9.5%
11.00 9.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.40 71.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAleksandriya - Levyy bereg

Aleksandriya
0 matches total
Levyy bereg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history