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Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 4 round 07.06.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
07.06.2026 11:00 UTC Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 4 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Atletico Progreso - Albion Montevideo

Football
Atletico Progreso
Atletico Progreso
1 : 2
Finished
A
Albion Montevideo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Progreso - Albion Montevideo June 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Albion Montevideo.

Line favourite market consensus: Albion Montevideo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.15 / X 3.18 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Progreso 29.2% / X 29.0% / Albion Montevideo 41.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 29.2%
X 28.9%
2 41.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura
League table
Atletico Progreso
#1513 ptsGP 193-4-1216:30
Albion Montevideo
#432 ptsGP 199-5-529:20
Best price across 12 books
1 3.35 Unibet
X 3.31 Pinnacle
2 2.32 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico Progreso
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.95 xGA 1.42
1 -3.70 X -6.90 2 +3.55 1 (DNB) -4.42
Albion Montevideo
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.11 xGA 1.18
1 +4.23 X -0.92 2 -5.60 1 (DNB) +3.46

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico Progreso
Rating 1393
Albion Montevideo
Rating 1579

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 07.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Progreso - Albion Montevideo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Progreso - Albion, 7 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 4 round. Progreso - Albion, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 3.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 4.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.15 31.8% 3.14 31.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.18 45.9% 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 4.40 22.7%
x2 1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.19 84.0%
1.09 91.7%
11.50 8.7%
6.30 15.9%
4.60 21.7%
11.50 8.7%
4.20 23.8%
5.80 17.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Albion Montevideo
L
31.05 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Albion Montevideo 1:2 Montevideo Siti
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Atletico Progreso
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Albion Montevideo
Atletico Progreso Team comparison Albion Montevideo
18 Games 18
3 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
11 Losses 5
15 Scored 27
28 Conceded 19
13 Points 29
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
iya 2.72 0.33 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Tobias Figeroa 0:1 23' Carlos Airala 0:2 45+3' Jonathan dos Santos 1:2 56' Nezabitye penalti Jonathan dos Santos 56' Nakazaniya Tomas Moschion 3' Federico Andueza 28' Tomas Moschion 40' Matias De los Santos 64' Hernan Carroso 78' Tobias Figeroa 87' Adrian Colombino 90+3' Statistika Progreso Albion 3 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 1
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Progreso Albion 18 Games 18 3 Wins 8 4 Draws 5 11 Losses 5 15 Scored 27 28 Conceded 19 13 Points 29 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3.22 Warnings 2.72 0.33 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Tobias Figeroa 0:1 23' Carlos Airala 0:2 45+3' Jonathan dos Santos 1:2 56' Nezabitye penalti Jonathan dos Santos 56' Nakazaniya Tomas Moschion 3' Federico Andueza 28' Tomas Moschion 40' Matias De los Santos 64' Hernan Carroso 78' Tobias Figeroa 87' Adrian Colombino 90+3' Statistika Progreso Albion 3 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 1 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 43% 14% 43% Double chance 29% 42% 29% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1314804' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings