Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Uruguay. Premier League

Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group A. 4 round 07.06.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

07.06.2026 19:30 UTC Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group A. 4 round

Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Defensor Sporting - Boston River

Football

Defensor Sporting

1 : 1

Finished

Boston River

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Defensor Sporting - Boston River June 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.60 / X 1.19 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%

1 12.0%

X 76.6%

2 11.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura

League table

Defensor Sporting

#1122 ptsGP 185-7-614:15

Boston River

#1220 ptsGP 186-2-1018:25

Best price across 12 books

1 2.04 Dafabet

X 3.34 Pinnacle

2 4.10 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Defensor Sporting

W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.13 xGA 1.11

1 -6.39 X +2.18 2 +1.28 1 (DNB) -3.35

Boston River

W-D-L 5-0-5 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.07 xGA 1.23

1 +2.35 X -10.00 2 +0.06 1 (DNB) -1.15

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Defensor Sporting

Rating 1534

Boston River

Rating 1460

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 07.06.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Defensor Sporting - Boston River

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Defensor Sporting - Boston River, 8 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group A. 4 round. Defensor Sporting - Boston River, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 Fonbet · line only

X 1.19 Fonbet · line only

1 7.60 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 3.95 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.45 69.0%
yes	2.60 38.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	3.95 25.3%
1x	1.06 94.3%
x2	1.07 93.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.35 74.1%
	1.18 84.8%
	1.01 99.0%
	10.00 10.0%
	7.70 13.0%
	11.00 9.1%
	1.78 56.2%
	2.90 34.5%
	4.05 24.7%
	11.50 8.7%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 1	5.00 20.0%
Over 1.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 2	8.50 11.8%
Over 2.5	3.80 26.3%
Over 3	11.00 9.1%
Over 3.5	6.50 15.4%
Over 4.5	7.40 13.5%
Under 0.5	3.05 32.8%
Under 1	1.14 87.7%
Under 1.5	1.95 51.3%
Under 2	1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5	1.20 83.3%
Under 3	1.01 99.0%
Under 3.5	1.07 93.5%
Under 4.5	1.05 95.2%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDefensor Sporting - Boston River

Defensor Sporting

0 matches total

Boston River

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Defensor Sporting

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Boston River

18 Games 18

5 Wins 6

7 Draws 2

6 Losses 10

14 Scored 18

15 Conceded 25

22 Points 20

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

niya 2.61 0.17 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Facundo Munoa 0:1 60' Alexander Machado Guillermo De Los Santos 1 70' Nakazaniya Nicolas Wunsch 22' Mauricio Amaro 42' Axel Frugone 59' Franco Perez 87' Guillermo De Los Santos 88' Gaston Ramirez 88' Statistika Defensor Sporting Boston River 4 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0

name: 'commentsWidget',

params: {

appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'],

xid: 'match_1314802' } }); ; ; ; ; Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings

Defensor Sporting Boston River 18 Games 18 5 Wins 6 7 Draws 2 6 Losses 10 14 Scored 18 15 Conceded 25 22 Points 20 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 2.56 Warnings 2.61 0.17 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Facundo Munoa 0:1 60' Alexander Machado Guillermo De Los Santos 1 70' Nakazaniya Nicolas Wunsch 22' Mauricio Amaro 42' Axel Frugone 59' Franco Perez 87' Guillermo De Los Santos 88' Gaston Ramirez 88' Statistika Defensor Sporting Boston River 4 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 11% 22% 67% Double chance 17% 38% 45% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1314802' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings