Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
10.07.2026 20:00 UTC Промежуточный турнир. Группа B. 5-й тур
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo

Futbol
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
1 : 1
Finished
A
Albion Montevideo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Maldonado.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Maldonado. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.25 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Deportivo Maldonado 45.2% / X 28.3% / Albion Montevideo 26.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 45.3%
X 28.3%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura
League table
Deportivo Maldonado
#140 ptsGP 2012-4-436:21
DWWDW
Albion Montevideo
#433 ptsGP 209-6-530:21
DWLLD
Best price across 14 books
1 2.12 Dafabet
X 3.35 Dafabet
2 3.76 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportivo Maldonado
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.29 xGA 1.10
Albion Montevideo
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.14 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportivo Maldonado
Rating 1645
Albion Montevideo
Rating 1587

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Maldonado 1 : 1 Albion Montevideo
12.06
X3.30
23.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Депортиво Мальдонадо - Альбион, 11 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Уругвай — Примера 2026, Промежуточный турнир. Группа B. 5-й тур. Депортиво Мальдонадо - Альбион, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.98 50.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
П2 3.55 28.2% 3.57 28.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 3.70 27.0% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 7.40 13.5%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 21.00 4.8%
Match center
Deportivo Maldonado
W W
06.06 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Deportivo Maldonado 4:2 Montevideo Siti
31.05 19:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Deportivo Maldonado 3:0 Nasonal
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Albion Montevideo
W L
07.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Albion Montevideo 2:1 ProgresoProgreso
31.05 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Albion Montevideo 1:2 Montevideo Siti
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Deportivo Maldonado
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Albion Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado Team comparison Albion Montevideo
19 Игры 19
12 Победы 9
3 Ничьи 5
4 Поражения 5
35 Забито 29
20 Пропущено 20
39 Очки 32
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
0 Удары по воротам 0
0 Удары в створ 0
я 2.74 0.16 Удаления 0.37 Голы Sebastian Jaume 1:0 24' Alvaro Lopez 1:1 81' Наказания Sebastian Tormo 56' Francisco Ginella 60' Santiago Ramirez 75' Кристиан Табо 90+6' Статистика Депортиво Мальдонадо Альбион 3 Предупреждения 1 0 Удаления 0
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Депортиво Мальдонадо Альбион 19 Игры 19 12 Победы 9 3 Ничьи 5 4 Поражения 5 35 Забито 29 20 Пропущено 20 39 Очки 32 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 3.11 Предупреждения 2.74 0.16 Удаления 0.37 Голы Sebastian Jaume 1:0 24' Alvaro Lopez 1:1 81' Наказания Sebastian Tormo 56' Francisco Ginella 60' Santiago Ramirez 75' Кристиан Табо 90+6' Статистика Депортиво Мальдонадо Альбион 3 Предупреждения 1 0 Удаления 0 Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 70% 15% 15% Двойной шанс 43% 42% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318398' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Уругвай — Примера Турнирная таблица