Uruguay. Premier League

Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group B. 5 round 10.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

10.07.2026 20:00 UTC Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group B. 5 round

Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo

Futbol

Deportivo Maldonado

1 : 1

Finished

Albion Montevideo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo July 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Maldonado.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Maldonado. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.25 / 2 3.47
1X2 market: Deportivo Maldonado 45.2% / X 28.3% / Albion Montevideo 26.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%

1 45.3%

X 28.3%

2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura

League table

Deportivo Maldonado

#140 ptsGP 2012-4-436:21

DWWDW

Albion Montevideo

#433 ptsGP 209-6-530:21

DWLLD

Best price across 14 books

1 2.12 Dafabet

X 3.35 Dafabet

2 3.76 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Deportivo Maldonado

W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.29 xGA 1.10

Albion Montevideo

W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.14 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Deportivo Maldonado

Rating 1645

Albion Montevideo

Rating 1587

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Maldonado 1 : 1 Albion Montevideo

12.06

X3.30

23.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 10.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Deportivo Maldonado - Albion, 11 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group B. 5 round. Deportivo Maldonado - Albion, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.47 market consensus · line only

X 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1 2.03 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 7.40 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 7.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.98 50.5%	2.06 48.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.15 31.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%
	3.55 28.2%	3.57 28.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	1.90 52.6%
yes	3.70 27.0%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.27 78.7%	1.30 76.9%	7.40 13.5%
1x	1.24 80.7%	1.28 78.1%	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.68 59.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	8.00 12.5%
0_1	8.50 11.8%
0_2	15.00 6.7%
0_3	41.00 2.4%
0_4	91.00 1.1%
1_0	6.00 16.7%
1_1	5.75 17.4%
1_2	10.00 10.0%
1_3	23.00 4.4%
1_4	67.00 1.5%
2_0	8.00 12.5%
2_1	7.00 14.3%
2_2	12.00 8.3%
2_3	29.00 3.5%
2_4	76.00 1.3%
3_0	15.00 6.7%
3_1	13.00 7.7%
3_2	21.00 4.8%

Match center

Deportivo Maldonado

W W

06.06 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Deportivo Maldonado 4:2 Montevideo Siti

31.05 19:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Deportivo Maldonado 3:0 Nasonal

2 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.5 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Albion Montevideo

W L

07.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Albion Montevideo 2:1 Progreso

31.05 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Albion Montevideo 1:2 Montevideo Siti

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo

Deportivo Maldonado

0 matches total

Albion Montevideo

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Deportivo Maldonado

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Albion Montevideo

19 Games 19

12 Wins 9

3 Draws 5

4 Losses 5

35 Scored 29

20 Conceded 20

39 Points 32

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

ya 2.74 0.16 Sendoffs 0.37 Goly Sebastian Jaume 1:0 24' Alvaro Lopez 1 81' Nakazaniya Sebastian Tormo 56' Francisco Ginella 60' Santiago Ramirez 75' Kristian Tabo 90+6' Statistika Deportivo Maldonado Albion 3 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0

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Deportivo Maldonado Albion 19 Games 19 12 Wins 9 3 Draws 5 4 Losses 5 35 Scored 29 20 Conceded 20 39 Points 32 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3.11 Warnings 2.74 0.16 Sendoffs 0.37 Goly Sebastian Jaume 1:0 24' Alvaro Lopez 1 81' Nakazaniya Sebastian Tormo 56' Francisco Ginella 60' Santiago Ramirez 75' Kristian Tabo 90+6' Statistika Deportivo Maldonado Albion 3 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 70% 15% 15% Double chance 43% 42% 15% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318398' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings