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Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
31.05.2026 19:30 UTC Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 3 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Deportivo Maldonado - Nasonal

Football
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado
3 : 0
Finished
N
Nasonal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Maldonado - Nasonal May 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.20 / X 1.57 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 18.0%
X 59.7%
2 22.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Deportivo Maldonado - Nasonal

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Deportivo Maldonado - Nasonal M, 1 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 3 round. Deportivo Maldonado - Nasonal M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
X 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.23 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.10 90.9%
yes 5.50 18.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.35 42.6%
1x 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.17 85.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.08 92.6%
2.10 47.6%
7.00 14.3%
2.08 48.1%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
1.01 99.0%
6.10 16.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.05 95.2%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 1 5.40 18.5%
Over 1.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 2 3.80 26.3%
Over 2.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 3.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 1.10 90.9%
Under 1.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 2 1.22 82.0%
Under 2.5 1.19 84.0%
Under 3.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Deportivo Maldonado
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Nasonal
Deportivo Maldonado Team comparison Nasonal
17 Games 17
10 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
28 Scored 29
18 Conceded 22
33 Points 28
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
niya 2.29 0.18 Sendoffs 0.24 Goly Kristian Tabo 1:0 79' Facundo Tealde 2:0 82' Gonzalo Larrazabal 3:0 90+5' Nakazaniya Luciano Boggio 8' Maximiliano Noble 56' Khuan de los Santos 68' Facundo Tealde 69' Juan Ginzo 69' Ignacio Suarez 82' Sebastyan Koates 83' Statistika Deportivo Maldonado Nasonal M 3 Warnings 4 0 Sendoffs 0
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Deportivo Maldonado Nasonal M 17 Games 17 10 Wins 9 3 Draws 1 4 Losses 7 28 Scored 29 18 Conceded 22 33 Points 28 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3.24 Warnings 2.29 0.18 Sendoffs 0.24 Goly Kristian Tabo 1:0 79' Facundo Tealde 2:0 82' Gonzalo Larrazabal 3:0 90+5' Nakazaniya Luciano Boggio 8' Maximiliano Noble 56' Khuan de los Santos 68' Facundo Tealde 69' Juan Ginzo 69' Ignacio Suarez 82' Sebastyan Koates 83' Statistika Deportivo Maldonado Nasonal M 3 Warnings 4 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 33% 25% 42% Double chance 29% 37% 34% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1314818' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings