Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
12.07.2026 13:00 UTC Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group A. 5 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Liverpool Montevideo - Serro

Futbol
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1 : 2
Finished
Serro
Serro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool Montevideo - Serro July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / X 1.10 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 23.1%
1 11.1%
X 73.8%
2 15.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Liverpool Montevideo 1 : 1 Serro
11.65
X3.55
25.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Liverpool Montevideo - Serro

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Liverpul - Serro, 12 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group A. 5 round. Liverpul - Serro, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.33 market consensus · line only
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.95 33.9% 1.62 61.7%
yes 1.35 74.1% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4% 5.80 17.2%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 1.07 93.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.23 44.8%
X 2.01 49.8%
6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.14 46.7%
Under 1 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Liverpool Montevideo
D W
08.06 20:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Liverpool Montevideo 0:0 Serro-LargoSerro-Largo
01.06 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Liverpool Montevideo 1:0 Boston RiverBoston River
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Serro
L
07.06 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Serro 0:1 PenyarolPenyarol
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Liverpool Montevideo
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Serro
Liverpool Montevideo Team comparison Serro
19 Games 19
6 Wins 3
7 Draws 4
6 Losses 12
22 Scored 10
20 Conceded 31
25 Points 13
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
ya 3.84 0.26 Sendoffs 0.32 Goly Agustin Miranda 0:1 22' Ruben Bentancourt 1 45+1' Jairo Amaro 1:2 90+2' Nakazaniya Santyago Lakidayn 19' Brayan Aleman 19' Lucas Acosta 38' Yonatan Irrazabal 54' Damian Suares 72' Thiago Brizuela 90+2' Statistika Liverpul Serro 3 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0
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Liverpul Serro 19 Games 19 6 Wins 3 7 Draws 4 6 Losses 12 22 Scored 10 20 Conceded 31 25 Points 13 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 2.47 Warnings 3.84 0.26 Sendoffs 0.32 Goly Agustin Miranda 0:1 22' Ruben Bentancourt 1 45+1' Jairo Amaro 1:2 90+2' Nakazaniya Santyago Lakidayn 19' Brayan Aleman 19' Lucas Acosta 38' Yonatan Irrazabal 54' Damian Suares 72' Thiago Brizuela 90+2' Statistika Liverpul Serro 3 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 64% 18% 18% Double chance 41% 41% 18% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318390' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings