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Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
06.06.2026 16:00 UTC Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 4 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado

Football
M
Montevideo City Torque
2 : 4
Finished
Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Montevideo City Torque.

Line favourite market consensus: Montevideo City Torque. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.16 / 2 2.86
  • 1X2 market: Montevideo City Torque 38.7% / X 29.1% / Deportivo Maldonado 32.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 38.8%
X 29.1%
2 32.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura
League table
Montevideo City Torque
#729 ptsGP 198-5-629:24
Deportivo Maldonado
#139 ptsGP 1912-3-435:20
Best price across 13 books
1 2.50 Unibet
X 3.40 Bet365
2 3.03 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Montevideo City Torque
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.30 xGA 1.04
1 +0.15 X +0.90 2 -4.80 1 (DNB) +1.00
Deportivo Maldonado
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.29 xGA 1.07
1 +2.65 X -2.70 2 -2.80 1 (DNB) +1.77

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Montevideo City Torque
Rating 1572
Deportivo Maldonado
Rating 1628

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Montevideo Siti Torke - Deportivo Maldonado, 6 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group B. 4 round. Montevideo Siti Torke - Deportivo Maldonado, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.36 42.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.76 36.2% 2.96 33.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.03 97.1%
yes 10.50 9.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.60 21.7%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.80 20.8%
10.00 10.0%
11.50 8.7%
7.00 14.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
1.87 53.5%
1.13 88.5%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
2.60 38.5%
10.50 9.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.83 54.6%
Match center
Montevideo City Torque
W
31.05 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Montevideo City Torque 2:1 Albion
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Deportivo Maldonado
W
31.05 19:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Deportivo Maldonado 3:0 Nasonal
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Montevideo City Torque
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Deportivo Maldonado
Montevideo City Torque Team comparison Deportivo Maldonado
18 Games 18
8 Wins 11
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
27 Scored 31
20 Conceded 18
29 Points 36
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
0.17 Goly Salomon Rodriguez Franko Pitstsichillo 1:0 6' Santiago Ramirez 1 9' Santiago Ramirez 1:2 42' Renato Cesar Santiago Cartagena 1:3 47' Facundo Tealde 1:4 56' Franko Pitstsichillo 2:4 90+4' Nakazaniya Facundo Silvera 35' Gonsalo Montes 78' Franko Pitstsichillo 87' Nahuel Da Silva 90+3' Ernan Menosse 90+3' Statistika Montevideo Siti Torke Deportivo Maldonado 4 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0
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Montevideo Siti Torke Deportivo Maldonado 18 Games 18 8 Wins 11 5 Draws 3 5 Losses 4 27 Scored 31 20 Conceded 18 29 Points 36 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3.11 Warnings 3.22 0.28 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Salomon Rodriguez Franko Pitstsichillo 1:0 6' Santiago Ramirez 1 9' Santiago Ramirez 1:2 42' Renato Cesar Santiago Cartagena 1:3 47' Facundo Tealde 1:4 56' Franko Pitstsichillo 2:4 90+4' Nakazaniya Facundo Silvera 35' Gonsalo Montes 78' Franko Pitstsichillo 87' Nahuel Da Silva 90+3' Ernan Menosse 90+3' Statistika Montevideo Siti Torke Deportivo Maldonado 4 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 57% 0% 43% Double chance 29% 49% 22% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1314808' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings