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Uruguay. Premier League

29.07.2026 19:30 UTC

Not started

Uruguay. Premier League

Nasonal - Atletico Progreso

Football

Nasonal

- : -

Not started

Atletico Progreso

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Nasonal — 61%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nasonal (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Nasonal: probability 50% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.46)
• no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nasonal - Atletico Progreso July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Nasonal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.20 / 2 6.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0%

1 63.1%

X 22.3%

2 14.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Nasonal - Atletico Progreso

Form 4/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.10 market consensus · line only

X 4.19 market consensus · line only

1 1.45 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

X2 2.44 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.79 55.9%
yes	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.16 86.2%	1.19 84.0%
1x	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%
x2	2.40 41.7%	2.47 40.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.95 51.3%
X	2.31 43.3%
	6.10 16.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.73 57.8%
Under 1	1.99 50.3%

Match center

Nasonal

L D W L

17.07 20:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Nasonal 1:2 Montevideo Uonderers

11.07 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Nasonal 0:0 Danubio

06.06 19:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Nasonal 2:1 Khuventud

31.05 19:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Nasonal 0:3 Maldonado

1 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.5 Conceded

4 Points

Atletico Progreso

W L L

18.07 13:30 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Atletico Progreso 1:0 Maldonado

11.07 19:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Atletico Progreso 0:2 Montevideo Uonderers

07.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings

Atletico Progreso 1:2 Albion

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.7 Scored

1.3 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNasonal - Atletico Progreso

Nasonal

0 matches total

Atletico Progreso

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Nasonal - Atletico Progreso

AI match prediction Nasonal - Atletico Progreso July 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Nasonal - Atletico Progreso

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history