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Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
01.06.2026 21:00 UTC Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group A. 3 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Penyarol - Central Espanol

Football
Penyarol
Penyarol
0 : 1
Finished
Central Espanol
Central Espanol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penyarol - Central Espanol June 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.20 / X 1.15 / 2 11.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 12.7%
X 79.4%
2 7.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División - Apertura
League table
Penyarol
#333 ptsGP 1810-3-527:18
LWWWD
Central Espanol
#430 ptsGP 189-3-626:24
WLWWL
Best price across 14 books
1 1.50 Bet365
X 4.33 Bet365
2 7.10 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Penyarol
Rating 1617
Central Espanol
Rating 1550

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.06.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Penyarol - Central Espanol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Penyarol - Sentral Espanol, 2 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy Tournament. Group A. 3 round. Penyarol - Sentral Espanol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.01 99.0%
yes 10.50 9.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.40 22.7%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.07 93.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
10.00 10.0%
8.50 11.8%
11.50 8.7%
1.53 65.4%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 4.30 23.3%
Over 1 10.00 10.0%
Over 1.5 11.50 8.7%
Over 2 4.30 23.3%
Over 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 3.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 1 1.02 98.0%
Under 1.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2 1.16 86.2%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 3.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenyarol - Central Espanol

Penyarol
0 matches total
Central Espanol
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Penyarol
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Central Espanol
Penyarol Team comparison Central Espanol
17 Games 17
10 Wins 8
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
27 Scored 25
17 Conceded 24
33 Points 27
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
zhdeniya 2.53 0.29 Sendoffs 0.29 Goly Lukas Pino 0:1 90+11' Nakazaniya Diego Laksalt 40' Mariano Aguilera 47' Cesar 53' Matias Areso 90+1' Lucas Ferreira 90+3' Erik Remedi 90+4' Erik Remedi 90+4' Washington Aguerre 90+12' Statistika Penyarol Sentral Espanol 3 Warnings 2 3 Sendoffs 0
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Penyarol Sentral Espanol 17 Games 17 10 Wins 8 3 Draws 3 4 Losses 6 27 Scored 25 17 Conceded 24 33 Points 27 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3.06 Warnings 2.53 0.29 Sendoffs 0.29 Goly Lukas Pino 0:1 90+11' Nakazaniya Diego Laksalt 40' Mariano Aguilera 47' Cesar 53' Matias Areso 90+1' Lucas Ferreira 90+3' Erik Remedi 90+4' Erik Remedi 90+4' Washington Aguerre 90+12' Statistika Penyarol Sentral Espanol 3 Warnings 2 3 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 63% 24% 13% Double chance 44% 37% 19% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1314814' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings