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28.07.2026 19:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 19:30 UTC
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Uruguay. Premier League
Penyarol - Cerro Largo
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Penyarol - Cerro Largo July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera División - AperturaLeague table
Penyarol
WDWLW
Cerro Largo
DDWWL
Best price
across 8 books
1
1.60
Unibet
X
4.09
Pinnacle
2
6.81
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Penyarol
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 1.50
Conceded 0.90
xG 1.60
xGA 0.82
Cerro Largo
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.00
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.02
xGA 1.20
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Penyarol
Rating 1618
xG 1.69
Win 58%
Cerro Largo
Rating 1521
xG 0.81
Win 18%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Penyarol - Cerro Largo
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
pending
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Match center
Penyarol
W
D
W
L
Penyarol
3:0
Boston River
Boston River
Penyarol
1:1
Rasing Montevideo
Rasing Montevideo
Penyarol
1:0
Serro
Serro
Penyarol
0:1
Sentral Espanol
Sentral Espanol
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.5
Conceded
7
Points
Cerro Largo
W
D
D
Cerro Largo
1:0
Sentral Espanol
Sentral Espanol
Cerro Largo
1:1
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
0:0
Liverpul Montevideo
Liverpul Montevideo
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
0.7
Scored
0.3
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPenyarol - Cerro Largo
Penyarol
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Penyarol - Cerro Largo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form