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Uruguay. Premier League
Uruguay. Premier League
Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group A. 5 round 12.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 19:30 UTC Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group A. 5 round
Finished

Uruguay. Premier League

Racing Montevideo - Penyarol

Futbol
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
1 : 1
Finished
Penyarol
Penyarol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Racing Montevideo - Penyarol July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penyarol.

Line favourite market consensus: Penyarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.04 / X 2.98 / 2 2.36
  • 1X2 market: Racing Montevideo 30.2% / X 30.9% / Penyarol 38.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 30.2%
X 30.8%
2 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Racing Montevideo 1 : 1 Penyarol
13.08
X3.00
22.43

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated12.07.2026 20:23 UTC
1 30%
X 31%
2 39% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:Penyarol with handicap (0) or bolee nadezhnyy variant X2 + Under 3.5.
Qwen updated12.07.2026 20:37 UTC
1 30%
X 31%
2 39% ✓ favourite
Bet:2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 30% 31% 39% 0:1 Under 2.5 — Penyarol with handicap (0) or bolee nadezhnyy variant X2 + Under 3.5.
Qwen 30% 31% 39% — — — 2

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 19:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Penyarol 39%
💹 Market Penyarol 3894%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Racing Montevideo - Penyarol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Rasing Montevideo - Penyarol, 13 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Uruguay — Primera 2026, Promezhutochnyy turnir. Group A. 5 round. Rasing Montevideo - Penyarol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · line only
X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 3.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.00 33.3% 3.12 32.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.01 33.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%
2.36 42.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 1.66 60.2%
yes 3.15 31.8% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 8.50 11.8%
1x 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.25 16.0%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 81.00 1.2%
3_0 31.00 3.2%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Racing Montevideo
D
06.06 11:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Racing Montevideo 1:1 Sentral EspanolSentral Espanol
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Penyarol
W L
07.06 16:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Penyarol 1:0 SerroSerro
01.06 21:00 UTC Uruguay: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio Standings
Penyarol 0:1 Sentral EspanolSentral Espanol
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Racing Montevideo
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Penyarol
Racing Montevideo Team comparison Penyarol
19 Games 19
10 Wins 11
7 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
25 Scored 28
15 Conceded 18
37 Points 36
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
eniya 2.89 0.11 Sendoffs 0.42 Goly Alex Vazquez 1:0 31' Abel Hernandez 1 74' Nakazaniya Maximiliano Olivera 19' Nicolas Fernandez 25' Leandro Umpierrez 37' Elias Bentancor 57' Rodrigo Dudok 59' Diego Cheuquepal 73' Martin Ferreira 90' Statistika Rasing Montevideo Penyarol 4 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0
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Rasing Montevideo Penyarol 19 Games 19 10 Wins 11 7 Draws 3 2 Losses 5 25 Scored 28 15 Conceded 18 37 Points 36 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 3 Warnings 2.89 0.11 Sendoffs 0.42 Goly Alex Vazquez 1:0 31' Abel Hernandez 1 74' Nakazaniya Maximiliano Olivera 19' Nicolas Fernandez 25' Leandro Umpierrez 37' Elias Bentancor 57' Rodrigo Dudok 59' Diego Cheuquepal 73' Martin Ferreira 90' Statistika Rasing Montevideo Penyarol 4 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 23% 39% 38% Double chance 31% 30% 39% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318388' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Uruguay — Primera Turnirnaya Standings