Match center
Start
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished
Uruguay. Segunda Division
Oriental - River Plate
O
Oriental
1
:
2
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2River Plate — 66%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Oriental - River Plate July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Oriental. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.00 / 2 2.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.2%
1
37.3%
X
31.1%
2
31.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Segunda Division - Regular Season
Team stats
Oriental
LLDDLWDWDD
W 2 • D 5 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.3
6 place, 11 pts
River Plate
LWDWWLLWLD
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.8
7 place, 11 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Oriental 1, draws 0, River Plate 0 (goals 3:1)
- CA River Plate — Oriental2026-03-14 1:3
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Oriental | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 86% |
| Average total | — | 4.71 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | — | 71% |
| Matches counted | — | 7 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Oriental - River Plate
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.91
market consensus · line only
X
2.95
market consensus · line only
1
2.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.35
market consensus · line only
X2
1.47
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.02
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.72
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.84
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| x2 | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.07 32.6% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 3.72 26.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
Match center
Oriental
W
D
W
Oriental
3:0
Rentistas
Oriental
2:2
Miramar
Miramar
Oriental
2:0
Takuarembo
Takuarembo
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.3
Scored
0.7
Conceded
7
Points
River Plate
W
L
L
River Plate
6:4
Serrito
Serrito
River Plate
1:3
Feniks
Feniks
River Plate
0:2
Atenas
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.3
Scored
3.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyOriental - River Plate
Oriental
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals