Uruguay. Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia face Miramar on August 1, 2026 in the Uruguay. Segunda Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Plaza Colonia 3-0-1, Miramar 1-2-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Plaza Colonia — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Plaza Colonia): model 45% · market 52% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Plaza Colonia 49.8%, draw 27.4%, win Miramar 22.8%. Model favourite — Plaza Colonia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.03 49.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 1.97 50.8% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.64 61.0% |
Plaza Colonia
Takuarembo
River Pleyt
La Lus
Paysandu FC
Miramar
La Lus
Serrito
Uruguay Montevideo
Full head-to-head historyPlaza Colonia - Miramar
The Plaza Colonia - Miramar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
