Uruguay. Segunda Division
Rentistas face Plaza Colonia on August 10, 2026 in the Uruguay. Segunda Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rentistas 2-1-2, Plaza Colonia 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Rentistas — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Rentistas): model 46% · market 36% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Rentistas 37.1%, draw 30.0%, win Plaza Colonia 33.0%. Model favourite — Rentistas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.07 48.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.34 29.9% | |
| X | 1.87 53.5% |
| 3.62 27.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.32 43.1% |
La Lus
Serrito
Paysandu FC
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
Takuarembo
River Pleyt
La Lus
Paysandu FC
Full head-to-head historyRentistas - Plaza Colonia
The Rentistas - Plaza Colonia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
