Uruguay. Segunda Division
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cerrito — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cerrito): model 45% · market 37% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Cerrito 59.2%, draw 19.8%, win Atletico Fenix 21.0%. Model favourite — Cerrito.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cerrito.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.24 30.9% | |
| X | 1.95 51.3% |
| 3.46 28.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
Cerrito
Miramar
Takuarembo
River Pleyt
Atletico Fenix
Paysandu FC
Huracan FC
River Pleyt
Full head-to-head historyCerrito - Atletico Fenix
The Cerrito - Atletico Fenix breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
