Match center
Start
05.07.2026 18:00 UTC
05.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished
Uruguay. Segunda Division
Tacuarembo - Cerrito
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tacuarembo - Cerrito July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Tacuarembo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.97 / 2 2.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.8%
1
35.0%
X
31.2%
2
33.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Segunda Division - Regular Season
Team stats
Tacuarembo
LDDWWLWLWL
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1
4 place, 13 pts
Cerrito
DDDDWWWLLW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1.4
2 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Tacuarembo 4, draws 3, Cerrito 7 (goals 13:16)
- Tacuarembó FC — Club Sportivo Cerrito2026-03-29 1:1
- Club Sportivo Cerrito — Tacuarembó FC2025-08-24 1:1
- Tacuarembó FC — Club Sportivo Cerrito2025-06-03 2:0
- Club Sportivo Cerrito — Tacuarembó FC2024-11-16 3:1
- Tacuarembó FC — Club Sportivo Cerrito2024-07-27 0:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Tacuarembo
No recent matches
Cerrito
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Tacuarembo | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 40% |
| Average total | — | 3.4 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | — | 40% |
| Matches counted | — | 5 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Tacuarembo - Cerrito
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.72
market consensus · line only
X
2.94
market consensus · line only
1
2.59
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.40
market consensus · line only
X2
1.42
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.90
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.81
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.83
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.88
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.38 72.5% | 1.41 70.9% |
| x2 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.26 30.7% | |
| X | 1.93 51.8% |
| 3.49 28.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
Match center
Tacuarembo
L
W
L
Tacuarembo
1:2
Huracan FC
Huracan FC
Tacuarembo
1:0
Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0:2
Oriental
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.7
Scored
1.3
Conceded
3
Points
Cerrito
L
W
Cerrito
4:6
River Pleyt
River Pleyt
Cerrito
2:1
Atenas
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
3.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTacuarembo - Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals