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USA. USL
USA. USL
03.06.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
03.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Birmingham Legion - Louisville City

Football
B
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1
Finished
Louisville City
Louisville City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Birmingham Legion - Louisville City June 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Louisville City.

Line favourite market consensus: Louisville City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.93 / X 3.68 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: Birmingham Legion 23.2% / X 24.8% / Louisville City 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 23.3%
X 24.8%
2 51.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Birmingham Legion
#1011 ptsGP 102-5-311:12
Louisville City
#417 ptsGP 125-2-520:20
Best price across 13 books
1 4.00 10Bet
X 4.07 Pinnacle
2 1.86 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Birmingham Legion
Rating 1456
Louisville City
Rating 1497

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Birmingham Legion - Louisville City

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 3.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
4.00 25.0% 4.01 24.9% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.76 26.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.05 24.7%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.04 96.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
6.80 14.7%
11.50 8.7%
2.35 42.6%
8.00 12.5%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.52 65.8%