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31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 22:00 UTC
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USA. USL
Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island
B
Birmingham Legion
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:
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Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Rhode Island — 49%
Pure model vs market (2 · Rhode Island): model 44% · market 44% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Birmingham Legion 29.5%, draw 21.2%, win Rhode Island 49.4%. Model favourite — Rhode Island.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Rhode Island (odds2.50)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Rod Aylend: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Rhode Island. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.50 / 2 2.12
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
29.9%
X
26.5%
2
43.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Birmingham Legion
-
29.5%
Draw
-
21.2%
draw risk
Rhode Island
-
49.4%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
29.5% / 21.2% / 49.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,457 / 1,687
Birmingham Legion / Rhode Island
RD
165 / 148
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,128-1,786 / 1,391-1,982
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.12
market consensus · weak value +4.6% · model 49.4%
X
3.50
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.10
market consensus · no value · model 29.5%
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · no value · model 78.8%
1X
1.64
market consensus · no value · model 50.6%
X2
1.32
market consensus · no value · model 70.5%
Handicap
2 0
1.55
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.64 61.0% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.12 47.2% |
Match center
Birmingham Legion
L
D
L
L
Birmingham Legion
1:2
Luisvill Siti
Luisvill Siti
Birmingham Legion
1:1
Mayami
Mayami
Birmingham Legion
1:2
Detroyt
Birmingham Legion
1:2
Las Vegas Layts
Las Vegas Layts
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
1
Points
Rhode Island
W
W
L
D
W
Rhode Island
1:0
Pittsburg
Pittsburg
Rhode Island
1:0
Khartford Atletik
Khartford Atletik
Rhode Island
1:2
Sakramento Repablik
Sakramento Repablik
Rhode Island
1:1
Oranzh Kaunti SK
Rhode Island
4:1
Laudon
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBirmingham Legion - Rhode Island
Birmingham Legion
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form