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USA. USL
USA. USL
04.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Indy Eleven - Charlston

Futbol
Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven
2 : 0
Finished
C
Charlston

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indy Eleven - Charlston July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlston.

Line favourite market consensus: Charlston. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.49 / 2 2.31
  • 1X2 market: Indy Eleven 34.4% / X 26.1% / Charlston 39.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 34.4%
X 26.1%
2 39.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Indy Eleven
#521 ptsGP 126-3-318:12
WLWWW
Charlston
#226 ptsGP 158-2-530:21
LWWWD
Best price across 11 books
1 2.76 Pinnacle
X 3.61 Pinnacle
2 2.43 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Indy Eleven
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.32 xGA 1.37
Charlston
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.32 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.66 xGA 1.14

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Indy Eleven
Rating 1534
Charlston
Rating 1615

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

Indy Eleven
DLDWDLWWWL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1.2
6 place, 18 pts
Charlston
LDLWLWDWWW
W 5 • D 2 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:2.3 : 1.5
2 place, 26 pts
Head-to-head: 13 — Indy Eleven 4, draws 2, Charlston 7 (goals 22:30)
  • Charleston Battery — Indy Eleven2025-09-06 2:1
  • Indy Eleven — Charleston Battery2025-04-19 1:3
  • Charleston Battery — Indy Eleven2024-08-02 5:0
  • Indy Eleven — Charleston Battery2024-04-13 2:4
  • Charleston Battery — Indy Eleven2023-10-22 5:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Indy Eleven - Charlston

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · line only
X 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.55 39.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
2.33 42.9% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 2.34 42.7%
yes 6.10 16.4% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.90 52.6%
1x 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.30 76.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.22 31.1%
X 2.22 45.1%
2.86 35.0%
Match center
Indy Eleven
L
13.06 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Indy Eleven 0:1 PittsburgPittsburg
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Charlston
W D
13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Charlston 5:1 TalsaTalsa
10.06 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Charlston 2:2 Tampa BeyTampa Bey
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndy Eleven - Charlston

Indy Eleven
0 matches total
Charlston
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history