USA. USL
Las Vegas Lights face Oakland Roots on August 6, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Las Vegas Lights 3-1-1, Oakland Roots 0-1-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Las Vegas Lights — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Lights): model 57% · market 39% Δ +18 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Las Vegas Lights 49.8%, draw 20.7%, win Oakland Roots 29.5%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Lights.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.31 43.3% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.01 33.2% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 3.46 28.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.35 | 3.15 | 2.75 |
| Winline | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Fonbet | 2.13 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Betcity | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.36 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
Las Vegas Lights
Finiks Rayzing
San-Antonio
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Pittsburg
Sakramento Repablik
Lexington
Nyu-Meksiko
Mayami
Full head-to-head historyLas Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots
The Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
