USA. USL
Las Vegas Lights go head-to-head with Phoenix Rising on August 2, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Las Vegas Lights 3-0-1, Phoenix Rising 2-1-2. The market favourite is Phoenix Rising at roughly 37%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Las Vegas Lights — 38%
Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Lights): model 56% · market 36% Δ +20 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Las Vegas Lights 37.8%, draw 26.2%, win Phoenix Rising 36.0%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Lights.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Phoenix Rising.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.38 29.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.43 41.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.54 64.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.44 69.4% | 1.48 67.6% |
| x2 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
Las Vegas Lights
San-Antonio
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Phoenix Rising
Khartford Atletik
El-Paso Lokomotiv
Luisvill Siti
Full head-to-head historyLas Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising
The Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
