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USA. USL
USA. USL
04.08.2026 02:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Not started

USA. USL

Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots

Football
Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights
- : -
Not started
O
Oakland Roots

Las Vegas Lights go head-to-head with Oakland Roots on August 4, 2026 in the USA. USL.

Recent form (W-D-L): Las Vegas Lights 3-1-1, Oakland Roots 0-1-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Las Vegas Lights — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Las Vegas Lights): model 58% · market 38% Δ +20 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Las Vegas Lights50.2%
X · draw20.5%
2 · Oakland Roots29.3%

Model estimate: win Las Vegas Lights 50.2%, draw 20.5%, win Oakland Roots 29.3%. Model favourite — Las Vegas Lights.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Las Vegas Lights (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Las Vegas Layts: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Las Vegas Lights. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.30 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 38.5%
X 28.0%
2 33.6%

Odds source: Betcity line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Las Vegas Lights
#1622 ptsGP 176-4-725:27
Oakland Roots
#1921 ptsGP 185-6-725:28
Best price across 9 books
1 2.46 Pinnacle
X 3.40 Betfair
2 2.85 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Las Vegas Lights
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.28 xGA 1.54
Oakland Roots
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.44 xGA 1.38

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Las Vegas Lights
Rating 1471
Oakland Roots
Rating 1446

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Market 1 38.5% @ 2.40 / X 28.0% @ 3.30 / 2 33.6% @ 2.75
Match center

Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Las Vegas Lights - 50.2% model pick
Draw - 20.5% draw risk
Oakland Roots - 29.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.2% / 20.5% / 29.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,571 / 1,234 Las Vegas Lights / Oakland Roots
RD 181 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,208-1,934 / 924-1,544 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 29.3%
X 3.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.40 market consensus · value +20.6% · model 50.2%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · weak value +2.5% · model 79.5%
1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 70.7%
X2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.39 71.9%
x2 1.51 66.2%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.72 58.1%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
2.40 41.7%
X 3.30 30.3%
2.75 36.4%
Match center
Las Vegas Lights
D W W L W
02.08 02:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Las Vegas Lights 1:1 Finiks RayzingFiniks Rayzing
25.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Las Vegas Lights 1:0 Detroyt
18.07 23:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Las Vegas Lights 2:1 San-AntonioSan-Antonio
05.07 00:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Las Vegas Lights 1:2 El-Paso LokomotivEl-Paso Lokomotiv
13.06 22:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Las Vegas Lights 2:1 Birmingem
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Oakland Roots
L L L L D
02.08 02:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Oakland Roots 0:1 PittsburgPittsburg
26.07 00:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Oakland Roots 1:3 Sakramento RepablikSakramento Repablik
22.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Oakland Roots 0:2 LexingtonLexington
04.07 23:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Oakland Roots 1:2 Nyu-MeksikoNyu-Meksiko
14.06 00:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Oakland Roots 0:0 MayamiMayami
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points