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USA. USL

31.07.2026 21:00 UTC

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USA. USL

Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic

Football

Loudoun United

- : -

Not started

Hartford Athletic

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Loudoun United — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Loudoun United): model 34% · market 40% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Loudoun United53.9%

X · draw20.4%

2 · Hartford Athletic25.7%

Model estimate: win Loudoun United 53.9%, draw 20.4%, win Hartford Athletic 25.7%. Model favourite — Loudoun United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Loudoun United (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 54%

• Model backs Laudon: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Loudoun United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.40 / 2 2.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 40.1%

X 27.3%

2 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship

League table

Loudoun United

#2215 ptsGP 162-9-519:29

ARRAY

Hartford Athletic

#2020 ptsGP 164-8-412:14

ARRAY

Best price across 11 books

1 2.32 Betano

X 3.50 Pinnacle

2 3.00 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Loudoun United

W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.30 xGA 1.69

Hartford Athletic

W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.50 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.27 xGA 1.42

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Loudoun United

Rating 1426 xG 1.38 Win 42%

Hartford Athletic

Rating 1515 xG 1.17 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center

Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Loudoun United - 53.9% model pick

Draw - 20.4% draw risk

Hartford Athletic - 25.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 53.9% / 20.4% / 25.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,381 / 1,575 Loudoun United / Hartford Athletic

RD 165 / 164 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,052-1,710 / 1,247-1,903 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.83 market consensus · no value · model 25.7%

X 3.38 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.29 market consensus · value +23.4% · model 53.9%

Double chance

12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%

1X 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 74.3%

X2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%

Handicap

2 0 2.07 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.24 80.7%	1.27 78.7%
1x	1.33 75.2%	1.38 72.5%
x2	1.52 65.8%	1.54 64.9%

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.64 61.0%	1.69 59.2%
	2.10 47.6%	2.04 49.0%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 2.5	1.77 56.5%	1.81 55.3%
Under 2.5	1.93 51.8%	1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%
	2.85 35.1%	2.80 35.7%

Match center

Loudoun United

W D D L

25.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Loudoun United 1:0 Indi Eleven

18.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Loudoun United 1:1 Tampa Bey

03.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Loudoun United 2:2 Sporting Jax

13.06 20:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Loudoun United 1:4 Rod Aylend

1 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.3 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Hartford Athletic

L L D L W

26.07 00:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Hartford Athletic 3:4 Finiks Rayzing

18.07 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Hartford Athletic 0:1 Rod Aylend

08.07 21:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Hartford Athletic 2:2 Oranzh Kaunti SK

04.07 22:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Hartford Athletic 0:1 Luisvill Siti

13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings

Hartford Athletic 1:0 Tampa Bey

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLoudoun United - Hartford Athletic

Loudoun United

0 matches total

Hartford Athletic

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic

AI match prediction Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Double chance

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history