USA. USL
Loudoun United face Hartford Athletic on August 1, 2026 in the USA. USL.
Recent form (W-D-L): Loudoun United 1-2-1, Hartford Athletic 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Loudoun United — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Loudoun United): model 34% · market 42% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Loudoun United 40.3%, draw 27.0%, win Hartford Athletic 32.7%. Model favourite — Loudoun United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.49 40.2% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| x2 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.54 64.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 2.44 41.0% |
| 5.10 19.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.19 23.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Indi Eleven
Tampa Bey
Sporting Jax
Rod Aylend
Hartford Athletic
Finiks Rayzing
Rod Aylend
Luisvill Siti
Tampa Bey
Full head-to-head historyLoudoun United - Hartford Athletic
The Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
