USA. USL
USA. USL
03.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Loudoun United - Sporting Jax

Futbol
L
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Finished
Sporting Jax
Sporting Jax

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Loudoun United - Sporting Jax 3 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Loudoun United.

Line favourite market consensus: Loudoun United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.00 / 2 4.33
  • 1X2 market: Loudoun United 56.0% / X 22.9% / Sporting Jax 21.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 56.1%
X 22.8%
2 21.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

USL Championship
League table
Loudoun United
#1111 ptsGP 141-8-517:28
DLDLL
Sporting Jax
#134 ptsGP 150-4-1119:41
DLLLD
Best price across 11 books
1 1.69 Pinnacle
X 4.27 Pinnacle
2 5.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Loudoun United
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 1.20 Conceded 2.01 xG 1.22 xGA 1.66
Sporting Jax
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 1.21 Conceded 2.81 xG 1.01 xGA 1.87

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Loudoun United
Rating 1402
Sporting Jax
Rating 1272

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

Loudoun United
DDDDWDLLDL
W 1 • D 6 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 2
11 place, 10 pts
Sporting Jax
LLLLLDDLLL
W 0 • D 2 • L 8 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 2.8
13 place, 3 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Loudoun United - Sporting Jax

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
Х 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 3.10 32.3%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.06 94.3%
x2 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.13 47.0%
Х 2.39 41.8%
П2 4.48 22.3%
Match center
Loudoun United
L
13.06 20:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Loudoun United 1:4 Rod AylendRod Aylend
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sporting Jax
L L D
14.06 00:40 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sporting Jax 2:6 Detroyt
11.06 00:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sporting Jax 1:2 Monterey Bey
31.05 16:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Sporting Jax 2:2 Brooklyn
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
3.3 Conceded
1 Points