USA. USL
USA. USL
04.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

USA. USL

Louisville City - Hartford Athletic

Futbol
Louisville City
Louisville City
1 : 0
Finished
Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Louisville City58%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Louisville City - Hartford Athletic July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Louisville City.

Line favourite market consensus: Louisville City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.84 / 2 4.64
  • 1X2 market: Louisville City 56.5% / X 23.8% / Hartford Athletic 19.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 56.5%
X 23.8%
2 19.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • USL Championship

Team stats

Louisville City
WWLLLLLDWD
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.6
4 place, 21 pts
Hartford Athletic
DLDLDWLDWD
W 2 • D 5 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.5 : 1.1
7 place, 18 pts
Head-to-head: 11 — Louisville City 7, draws 3, Hartford Athletic 1 (goals 21:8)
  • Louisville City — Hartford2025-10-25 1:0
  • Hartford — Louisville City2025-05-17 1:1
  • Hartford — Louisville City2024-08-24 2:1
  • Louisville City — Hartford2024-04-27 6:0
  • Louisville City — Hartford2023-10-07 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Louisville City - Hartford Athletic

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.54 market consensus · line only
X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.82 26.2% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.50 22.2% 4.71 21.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.98 50.5%
yes 3.85 26.0% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.20 83.3% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.48 67.6% 1.16 86.2% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.37 73.0% 2.14 46.7% 6.80 14.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.15 46.5%
X 2.24 44.6%
5.00 20.0%
Match center
Louisville City
D W D
13.06 22:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Louisville City 2:2 Brooklyn
11.06 00:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Louisville City 2:0 Finiks RayzingFiniks Rayzing
03.06 22:00 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Louisville City 1:1 Birmingem
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Hartford Athletic
W
13.06 21:30 UTC USA: Chempionship YuSL Standings
Hartford Athletic 1:0 Tampa BeyTampa Bey
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points